Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Thorsten Frei 98%+0.5%34 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
91 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺39,6 B
Likidite
₺4,2 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
97.5% / 98.5%
Spread
1.0%
Dar spread7g Değişim
+56.0%
Piyasa verileri
20 dakika önce guncellendi
18 Tem 26 21:0829 Tem 26 23:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Thorsten Frei98%
Hacim trendi
$83620 Tem7g veri26 Tem
İlgili Piyasalar
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
₺6,6 MnUnited Russia (ER): 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
₺4,3 MnMarine Le Pen: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
₺1,6 MnCount Binface: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton By-Election - Winner
₺166,1 BConservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETS
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
₺161,8 BEvet: 6.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
₺32 BEvet: 15.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBu konularda aktif
İlgili Haberler
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Le Pen jumps to 33% in France 2027 race, volume tops $114MBlockchain.News%20Abstract%20Cryptocurrency.%20With%20a%20dark%20background%20and%20a%20world%20map-min.jpg)
Polymarket odds: Lula leads Brazil 2026 race at 61.5% after 12pp jumpBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9MBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmentedBlockchain.NewsKurallar
On July 18, 2026, Jens Spahn resigned as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after coming under mounting political pressure over his use of surrogacy to become a parent (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/senior-merz-ally-spahn-resigns-after-coming-under-pressure-germany-over-2026-07-18/).
- This market will resolve according to the first person formally elected as Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group following Jens Spahn.
- The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement that the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group has elected its next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender after Jens Spahn.
- Nominations, agreements between Friedrich Merz and Markus Söder, and temporary, interim, or acting performance of the chair’s duties will not qualify.
- If the next Unionsfraktionsvorsitzender of the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group after Jens Spahn is not announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the CDU/CSU Bundestag parliamentary group; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.