PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Greg Murphy (R) 86%
Greg Murphy (R) 86%Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺3,4 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlış / Satış
85.0% / 87.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
1 dakika önce güncellendi
28 Oca 26 21:41 UTC4 Kas 26 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Polymarket
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Minimum emir (pay):
- 5
- Fiyat adımı:
- 1 yüzde puan
- İşlem ücreti:
- Evet
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Bu piyasayı şu anda 3 platform fiyatlıyor. CoinRithm'in Greg Murphy (R) için likidite ağırlıklı referans olasılığı %86. Platformlar arası fark yaklaşık 36 puan.
CoinRithm referansı Greg Murphy (R) 86% · 3 platform · 36 puan venue farkı
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — NC-03 House winner? · Greg Murphy 83%
- Gemini üzerinde de mevcut — North Carolina-03 House Winner · Greg Murphy 50%