PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
40%+ 91%-0.5pt4 seçenek arasında lider
40%+ 91%-0.5ptPiyasa kalitesi
42 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺20,6 B
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7 dakika önce güncellendi
28 Eyl 26 14:28 UTC30 Haz 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsHighest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiKurallar
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3).
- Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Meta "Watermelon" model added to the Humanity's Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
- The percentage displayed as "HLE Accuracy" for the model in its result card on the "AI Progress on Humanity's Last Exam" chart at https://agi.safe.ai/ will be used to resolve this market.