How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
9.1 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçim
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıCanlı kotasyon yok
27 Tem 2026 16:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık4-6 80%+0.6pt6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
34 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺0
Likidite
₺491,9 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
2.7% / 40.9%
Spread
38.2 pt
Geniş spread7g Değişim
+4.7 pts
Piyasa verileri
25 dakika önce guncellendi
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
4-680%
Platformları karşılaştır· 3
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiGenel en iyi%80 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Orta | 24% | 0pt | ₺68,1 B | ₺9,6 Mn | 25 dakika önce | Aç → |
| PolymarketBu sayfa | Düşük | 80% | +56pt | ₺0 | ₺491,9 B | 25 dakika önce |
Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut
How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
2.0 pts3ay
-1.0pt67%
-2.0pt24%
-1.9pt2%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
62 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺20,4 Mn
24s Hacim₺68,1 B
KALSHIKurallar
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September.
- This market will resolve according to the number of Republican House incumbents who do not win their nominating election to move on to the general election as a result of the 2026 midterm primary elections.
- An incumbent will be considered not to have won their election if they are not declared the winner of the election they sought, including if they withdraw, suspend, or otherwise leave the race at any point after officially registering as a candidate, regardless of the reason.
- Incumbents who do not officially register as candidates for reelection will not be considered.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all House nominating elections, including party primaries, top-two or jungle primaries, and primaries for special elections, that are scheduled to occur between March 1 and September 30, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election or a subsequent qualifying round in a non-partisan primary system could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that contest is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$633 Tem19g veri27 Tem
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The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September.
- This market will resolve according to the number of Republican House incumbents who do not win their nominating election to move on to the general election as a result of the 2026 midterm primary elections.
- An incumbent will be considered not to have won their election if they are not declared the winner of the election they sought, including if they withdraw, suspend, or otherwise leave the race at any point after officially registering as a candidate, regardless of the reason.
- Incumbents who do not officially register as candidates for reelection will not be considered.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all House nominating elections, including party primaries, top-two or jungle primaries, and primaries for special elections, that are scheduled to occur between March 1 and September 30, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election or a subsequent qualifying round in a non-partisan primary system could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that contest is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.