PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
8–9% 27.9%+0.5pt7 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺1,6 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
7.0 pt
Geniş spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-3.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
16 dakika önce güncellendi
2 Eyl 26 18:26 UTC7 Kas 26 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Polymarket
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Minimum emir (pay):
- 5
- Fiyat adımı:
- 1 yüzde puan
- İşlem ücreti:
- Evet
Kurallar
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
- This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
- In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
- In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
US Politics
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt61.4%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt28.7%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt8.9%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺939,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺79,3 Mn
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase52.5%
- No change-1.0pt45.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.9pt65%
- October 31-2.5pt36%
- September 30-2.0pt9%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺32,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt4%
- September 30-0.7pt0%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺31,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.3pt15%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- GOP Black vote share? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 23 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 8–9% için 27.9% fiyatlıyor.
- GOP Black vote share? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- GOP Black vote share? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 7 Kasım 2026.
- GOP Black vote share? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- GOP Black vote share? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi.