Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Les Républicains 97%3 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
68 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺644,3
Likidite
₺1,4 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
0.2 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-0.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
3 dakika önce güncellendi
19 Ağu 26 20:15 UTC12 Eki 26 23:59 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.
- The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.
- This market will resolve according to which of the following three Senate groups holds the most French Senate seats as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST: the Groupe the named outcome, the Groupe Socialiste, Écologiste et Républicain (SER), or the Groupe the named outcome.
- The seat count for each group will be its total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).
- A group will qualify as one of the three listed groups if it satisfies at least one of the following: - Its official name includes the listed group's name or a clear variant thereof; - Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the listed group; or - It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the listed group, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
- A group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above.
Açık piyasalar
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Sık sorulan sorular
- French Senate Election: Most Seats? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Les Républicains için 97% fiyatlıyor.
- French Senate Election: Most Seats? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- French Senate Election: Most Seats? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 12 Ekim 2026.
- French Senate Election: Most Seats? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.