Güncel ima edilen olasılık
AfD 29.5%-3.0pt8 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
75 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺81,8 B
Likidite
₺3,5 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-3.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Tem 26 01:15 UTC20 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
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PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurSwedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
KalshiKurallar
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
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- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
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+38 daha fazla sonuç
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.3%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺38,5 Mn
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- Toplam Hacim
- ₺257,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-2.0pt46%
- D-House, R-Senate37%
- R-House, R-Senate15%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺597,4 Mn
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla AfD için 29% fiyatlıyor.
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Eylül 2026.
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi.