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Hayır 94.6%
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39
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli23 Eki 24 23:37 UTC24 Eki 26 22:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which people will Tyler Cowen invite to his Conversations podcast in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
PolymarketWill any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Manifold MarketsIs Peter Todd Satoshi Nakamoto?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
KalshiWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
I believe that in less than two years we will know who Satoshi is.
- Tyler Cowen (2024), https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2024/10/does-it-matter-who-satoshi-was.html
- What matters is the state of affairs when this market closes.
- I have entered the close date as 2026-10-24 and will not change it.
- I will use my judgement to determine whether “we” know who Satoshi is.
- Public evidence available prior to market close that convinces me is sufficient.
Açık piyasalar
CryptoPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+3.1pt100%
- $25M+5.2pt99%
- $50M+11.7pt98%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺107 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺92,2 Mn
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+0.3pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 12pm EDT?
- $77,500 or above99%
- $77,400 or above99%
- $77,100 or above99%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺58,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺56,1 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,000 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $76,250 or above98%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺50,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺49,9 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺70,2 Mn
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900100%
- 2,000+0.4pt100%
- 2,100+0.5pt100%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will $LAPTOP flip $TRUMP by which date?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 9?
- Bitcoin price on September 9?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 24 Ekim 2026.
- Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I believe that in less than two years we will know who Satoshi is.