Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 58.8%
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 May 26 21:21 UTC31 Ara 55 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if an archaeological discovery is officially confirmed by a reputable academic institution, government heritage agency (such as the National Cultural Heritage Administration of China), or a peer-reviewed archaeological journal to be the remains or grave of Yuan Shao by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2055.
- If no such discovery is confirmed by this date, or if a discovery is claimed but not verified by the aforementioned authorities, the market resolves to NO.
- In the event of conflicting expert reports, the consensus of established archaeological bodies will determine the outcome.
- Yuan Shao (died 202 CE) was a powerful warlord during the late Eastern Han dynasty and a central figure in the events leading to the Three Kingdoms period in China.
- Despite his historical prominence, the location of his tomb remains unknown.