Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 77.7%
Tahminciler
56
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Haz 24 19:17 UTC5 Mar 31 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there by a major breakthrough in LLM continual learning before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a major hurricane landfall within 50 miles of Harris, Texas in 2026?
ForecastExWill there be a major hurricane landfall within 50 miles of Texas in 2026?
ForecastExWill there be a major hurricane landfall within 50 miles of Florida in 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2031, a decentralized platform that aims to provide a similar or superior service to Wikipedia has been widely recognized as a major competitor.
- This platform must meet the following criteria:
- Decentralized Nature: The platform must operate on a decentralized network, such as a blockchain or other distributed ledger technology, without a single point of control.
- User Base: It must have a substantial user base, comparable to or exceeding 15% of Wikipedia's active monthly users.
- Content Quality and Quantity: The platform should host a significant amount of content, with both the quality and breadth of articles comparable to Wikipedia.
- Recognition: It must be recognized by reputable sources in the technology or information sectors as a major competitor to Wikipedia.
Açık piyasalar
Crypto
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,486.84 target
- Yes99%
- No1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺81,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺57,2 Mn
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.7pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-8.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺23,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,6 Mn
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above98%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺61,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺17,4 Mn
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86.1%
- Yes-3.0pt13.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺702 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺13,8 Mn
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
- What price will Ethereum hit on September 8?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 78% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 5 Mart 2031.
- Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2031, a decentralized platform that aims to provide a similar or superior service to Wikipedia has been widely recognized as a major competitor.