Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 60%
Tahminciler
74
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Şub 24 20:37 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be an Unsong musical by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIs Digger (2026) a musical?
Manifold MarketsCMA Awards: Musical Event of the Year
KalshiWill ""You Have Not Been a Good User" (LessWrong's ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsRunner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
KalshiRunner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
KalshiKurallar
[image]I will create polls on Manifold and the ACX discord.
- To address survivorship bias, if the musical never happens, I will ask the creators why not.
- If they say that they cancelled it because it was going to be too hard to make it any good, I will resolve NO.
- If it was shelved for any other reason, I will resolve N/A. THE FINE PRINT:
- When summing results of multiple polls I will weigh the two equally, not in proportion to # of respondents.
Açık piyasalar
MusicKALSHIRunner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
- Choosin' Texas72%
- Sunflower15.3%
- Dai Dai2.5%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺908 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺908 B
KALSHITaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026)
- Above 13.9M99%
- Above 14M99%
- Above 13.7M99%
+28 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺783,8 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺783,8 B
KALSHIRunner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
- Dai Dai49%
- Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip10%
- KALYANI (Remix)10%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺785,1 B
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWestside Whimsy: First Week Album Equivalent Units
- Above 65K99%
- Above 10K99%
- Above 25K99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺448,8 B
POLYMARKET#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 18)
- BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky-15.5pt76%
- Earrings - Malcolm Todd+10.4pt13%
- Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley-2.5pt3%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWestside Whimsy: First Week Pure Album Sales
- Above 1K97%
- Above 2K-72.0pt18%
- Above 35K15%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺743,8 B
- 24s Hacim
- Stagecoach 2027: Headliner(s)
- Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?
- Drake: Highest daily view count in September 2026
- Top artist on Spotify in 2026?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- #2 Spotify Song 2026
- Top Song on Spotify in 2026?
- Top Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
- Distance in Static: First Week Album Equivalent Units
- #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Sep 26, 2026?
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the Unsong musical be good? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 15 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the Unsong musical be good? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the Unsong musical be good? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will the Unsong musical be good? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: [image]I will create polls on Manifold and the ACX discord.