Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?
One-OffCommodities7gManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 77.3%
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Gecikmeli2 Mar 26 18:09 UTC29 Eyl 26 18:08 UTC
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Resolves YES if authoritative sources such as USGS, IEA, or major industry reports confirm that the Zimbabwe export ban causes a reduction in global lithium supply exceeding 10,000 tonnes (kt) on September 29, 2026.
- This includes verified production or export shortfalls directly attributable to the ban, impacting global lithium feedstock availability.
- The threshold of 10 kt is near expected supply impact estimates, reflecting a meaningful disruption given Zimbabwe's role in spodumene supply.
- Minor fluctuations or unrelated supply changes do not count.
- Resolution will rely on official government announcements, mining company disclosures, or recognized market intelligence published on or shortly after the settlement date.
- Zimbabwe's export ban removes a significant portion of global lithium feedstock.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 22 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 77% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 29 Eylül 2026.
- Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if authoritative sources such as USGS, IEA, or major industry reports confirm that the Zimbabwe export ban causes a reduction in global lithium supply exceeding 10,000 tonnes (kt) on September 29, 2026.