Will President Trump make a major Gaffe During the Mid terms için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 9 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 54.8% fiyatlıyor.

Will President Trump make a major Gaffe During the Mid terms ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will President Trump make a major Gaffe During the Mid terms için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2026.

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Evet 54.8%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

36 dakika önce güncellendi

6 Eki 26 00:19 UTC3 Kas 26 23:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if, between October 6, 2026, and the end of Midterm Election Day on November 3, 2026 (Eastern Time), President Donald Trump makes a verbal, physical, or behavioral mistake during a public appearance, rally, interview, or official event that is widely characterized as a "gaffe," "blunder," or "slip-up" by mainstream media.
To ensure an objective resolution, the following criteria apply:
Media Consensus: The event must be described as a "gaffe," "blunder," "slip-up," or synonymous term in the headlines or lead paragraphs of at least three publications within 72 hours of its occurrence.
Community Poll Fallback: If there is a dispute or ambiguity about whether an event meets these criteria, the market creator will launch a Manifold community poll.
The market will resolve to YES if 51% or more of the voters in the poll agree that a major gaffe occurred, and NO otherwise.