Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 53.6%
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Ağu 26 23:47 UTC10 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Magic Kingdom at Walt Disney World hosts at least one official nighttime fireworks spectacular on every single calendar night from August 12, 2026, through September 10, 2026 (inclusive, Eastern Time).
- This market will resolve to NO if, on any calendar night within this date range, no fireworks show is performed at Magic Kingdom for any reason—including but not limited to severe weather, high winds, technical failures, schedule alterations, or park closures.
- Clarifications:
- What counts: Both the standard Happily Ever After show and the special party-exclusive Disney’s Not-So-Spooky Spectacular (shown during Mickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party nights) count as valid fireworks shows.
- Delays: A show that is delayed but is ultimately performed on that calendar day (even if late) will count toward a YES resolution.
Açık piyasalar
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+3.0pt32.7%
- 90° or above+12.0pt27.9%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt24%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺16,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,8 Mn
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+36.0pt99%
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺15 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+48.0pt92.4%
- 94° or above-2.0pt3.8%
- 90° to 91°-37.0pt0.9%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+6.0pt48.1%
- 79° or below+40.0pt45.4%
- 82° to 83°-33.0pt3.7%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+62.0pt94.1%
- 28°C-14.5pt5%
- 29°C-5.6pt1%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHighest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- 93° to 94°+45.0pt74.6%
- 95° to 96°-11.0pt18.4%
- 97° to 98°+1.0pt3.5%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
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- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 54% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 10 Eylül 2026.
- Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria