Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 75.1%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 Ara 24 02:36 UTC31 Ara 26 05:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will mail-order mifepristone access be restricted nationwide?
KalshiWill estradiol be available over-the-counter in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.
- This market will resolve YES if, at any point before 2027, it becomes impractical for me to obtain estradiol for at least one month.
- It will resolve N/A if I move to a different state before 2027 or if Texas ceases to exist.
Açık piyasalar
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-5.0pt11%
- December 31, 2026-4.0pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺906,8 B
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.2pt97%
- Yes-0.2pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺892 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺274,7 B
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400098%
- Above 6000+5.0pt69%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺50,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺235,5 B
POLYMARKETHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- 35 to 49-6.0pt45.8%
- 50 or more+26.7pt36.5%
- 20 to 34-26.5pt16.7%
KALSHIHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 8k+9.0pt97%
- Above 7k89%
- Above 9k81%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺780,9 B
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Pandemic in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 75% fiyatlıyor.
- Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.