Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 72.8%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Mar 26 19:11 UTC30 Eyl 26 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will I severely injure myself with my new supermagnets?
Manifold MarketsIf I infect myself with Alpha-Gal syndrome, will I regret it 6 months later?
Manifold MarketsManifold Scouts: NFL Head Coach Survival Pool (2025-26 Offseason Hires)
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This year I am going to try to avoid injuring myself while climbing.
- I do indoor bouldering, sport climbing, and am starting trad climbing this year.
- It needs to be severe enough that I see a doctor, or prevents me from climbing for a month.
- Last year I had two.
- In one I fell and dislocated my elbow, tearing my ulnar collateral ligament in half (but didn't require surgery), which resulted in about a 3 month break.
- In the second I had some weird muscle aches on the other arm that caused me to take a break for about 3 months.
Açık piyasalar
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺877,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺292,1 B
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,7 Mn
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺48,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺51,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺85 B
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺236,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will I injure myself this climbing season? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 73% fiyatlıyor.
- Will I injure myself this climbing season? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will I injure myself this climbing season? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Eylül 2026.
- Will I injure myself this climbing season? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This year I am going to try to avoid injuring myself while climbing.