Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 92.1%
Tahminciler
28
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 Mar 25 10:39 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?
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Derivative of this question, using the same criteria (except for the date):
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/tempo/will-hans-niemann-be-a-top-10-chess?play=true)If the linked question resolves YES at any time before the end of market close, this market resolves YES.
- If the market closes and the conditions for the linked question are not fulfilled, resolves NO.
- Since this is a very objective market, I will bet on it.
- Update 2025-06-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The December 2026 FIDE rating list will be the definitive source for resolution, even if it is published after the market closes (e.g., in January 2027).
- If it is clear Hans will not be in the top 10 by the end of 2026, the market may resolve NO immediately at its close time.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Derivative of this question, using the same criteria (except for the date):