Will GiveWell approve ≥$800M in grants in its 2026 grant year (Feb 2026–Jan 2027)?
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KalshiKurallar
GiveWell researches and funds highly cost-effective global health and development programs, reporting grantmaking on a grant year running 1 February to 31 January.
- In its 2025 grant year (1 Feb 2025–31 Jan 2026) it approved $418 million across 131 grants to 69 organizations, the most grants it has made in a year.
- In 2025 it generally considered opportunities its research estimated at 8x or more of its cost-effectiveness benchmark ("8x cash"), with the average grant around 16x.
- For 2026, GiveWell lists "grant $500 million or more to cost-effective programs" as a top priority.
- It has suggested to some supporters that an updated target is $800m.
- GiveWell describes its binding constraint as research and vetting capacity, not a shortage of donor money: it has been expanding its team to find and fund more opportunities.
Açık piyasalar
Health & Medicine
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- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺386,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mn
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
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- ₺887,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.5pt93.1%
- Yes+0.5pt6.9%
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- India+2.0pt8%
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+13 daha fazla sonuç
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- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-1.0pt60%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺94,1 B
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- On Nov 13, 202696%
- On Mar 13, 202789%
- On Nov 19, 202786%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
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- ₺917,4 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺74 B
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- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will GiveWell approve ≥$800M in grants in its 2026 grant year (Feb 2026–Jan 2027)? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 15 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 50% fiyatlıyor.
- Will GiveWell approve ≥$800M in grants in its 2026 grant year (Feb 2026–Jan 2027)? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will GiveWell approve ≥$800M in grants in its 2026 grant year (Feb 2026–Jan 2027)? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Ocak 2027.
- Will GiveWell approve ≥$800M in grants in its 2026 grant year (Feb 2026–Jan 2027)? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: GiveWell researches and funds highly cost-effective global health and development programs, reporting grantmaking on a grant year running 1 February to 31 January.