Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 95%
Tahminciler
121
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Eki 23 01:36 UTC2 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
KalshiSpotify Premium Family Plan price increase this year?
KalshiSpotify Premium Duo Plan price increase this year?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
I've been chatting with @BTE about their plan to found a competitor to Manifold.
- The core plan is a little differerent from the direction Manifold has gone, and seems like it could go very well or completely fail.
- I've been asked not to share the details.
- Resolves subjectivly based on whether it overall seems to have worked out.
- (Resolves N/A if it's not attempted.) I won't bet.
- Update 2025-03-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Deadline for Resolution: The market will now automatically resolve as NO at the end of 2026 unless BTE demonstrates something real.
Açık piyasalar
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.6pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-8.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺23,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,5 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+10.0pt57%
- 65-89+23.0pt41%
- 90-114-1.6pt2%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt78.2%
- Apple+0.6pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.6%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.7%
- 160-17913.7%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,5 Mn
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6 Mn
- Largest Company end of September?
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will BTE's secret plan work? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Will BTE's secret plan work? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will BTE's secret plan work? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2027.
- Will BTE's secret plan work? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I've been chatting with @BTE about their plan to found a competitor to Manifold.