Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 62.5%
Tahminciler
25
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis22 Oca 23 00:54 UTC22 Oca 00 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
Resolves YES if Honnold retires from climbing or stops free-soloing even if he continues climbing by other methods (free climbing with belay or other assistance, aid climbing, bouldering, etc.).
- If he doesn't stop before his death then this resolves to NO.
- Clarification on possible cases (11/29/23):
- Honnold says in an interview or on social media or anywhere public that he will no longer free solo and he does not free solo for at least a month afterwards: YES
- Honnold stops free soloing for strictly more than one year without having expressly commented on his plans or committed to another major project: YES.
- If he does not solo for a year but says he hasn’t decided to stop, this is insufficient for a resolution.
Açık piyasalar
Sports
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺151,2 Mn
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+49.0pt93%
- Philadelphia-50.0pt7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺135,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺133,6 Mn
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt8%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Sara Sorribes Tormo76%
- Cadence Brace24%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺116,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺107 Mn
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz77.2%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt22.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺104 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺94,3 Mn
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R+1.0pt13.9%
- Buffalo6.6%
- Baltimore5.7%
+29 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺88,8 Mn
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 63% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 22 Ocak 2100.
- Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if Honnold retires from climbing or stops free-soloing even if he continues climbing by other methods (free climbing with belay or other assistance, aid climbing, bouldering, etc.).