Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Washington's 5th District?
0.4 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-Off2026 ABD Ara SeçimleriABD SiyasetiSeçim23gManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiRepublican Party — Michael Baumgartner 84.4%+0.4pt3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+1.8 pts
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Eki 26 06:25 UTC4 Kas 26 12:00 UTC
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ForecastExWill Michael Baumgartner win the Washington 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Washington's 5th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
