Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in South Carolina's 1st District?
1.0 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri25gManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiRepublican Party — Jenny Costa Honeycutt 70.4%+1.0pt3 seçenek arasında lider
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2
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+0.3 pts
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11 dakika önce güncellendi
6 Eki 26 06:18 UTC4 Kas 26 12:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill Jenny Costa Honeycutt win the South Carolina 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Jenny Costa Honeycutt win the South Carolina 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExKurallar
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for South Carolina's 1st congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
