Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa kapandı ve doğrulanmış sonucu bekliyor.
Doğrulanmamış sonuç verisi
Bu sonuç çıkarımsaldır veya sağlayıcı düzeyinde sonuç kanıtıyla desteklenmez.
Güncel topluluk tahminiPalo Alto 100%22 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
31
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
19 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Mar 25 19:251 Tem 26 6:59
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Palo Alto100%
Berkeley2.2%
Sausalito3%
San Diego2.1%
Washington, D.C.2.2%
New York City1%
Miami100%
Tokyo, Japan3.1%
Delhi, India1%
Shanghai, China1%
São Paulo, Brazil1%
Chicago3.6%
Mexico City, Mexico1%
Emeryville, California2.2%
Boston1.1%
London0.7%
Seattle4.9%
Dallas99%
Nashville99%
Las Vegas4.9%
Detroit3.5%
Houston99%
2.2%
3%
2.1%
2.2%
1%
3.1%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· Palo Alto
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
14.6 ptsKapalı
+3.1pt100%
+80.0pt100%
0%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
19 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺13,2 Mn
24s Hacim₺64,2 B
POLYMARKETManifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Which new cities will Waymo serve by June 30?
Kapalı
Sonuçlandı
Nashville (100%)
100%
99.2%
99%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini25 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
This question asks which cities it will be possible to hail a Waymo from on or before June 30, 2026.
- Being able to summon a Waymo from any point within the city limits will count.
- To elaborate on what counts as "possible to hail a Waymo": I'm not going to count a service that's only available to Waymo employees, but as long as it's possible for someone unaffiliated with Waymo to hail a ride, then that will count (even if there is a waitlist and not all members of the public are able to use the service to start).
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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This question asks which cities it will be possible to hail a Waymo from on or before June 30, 2026.
- Being able to summon a Waymo from any point within the city limits will count.
- To elaborate on what counts as "possible to hail a Waymo": I'm not going to count a service that's only available to Waymo employees, but as long as it's possible for someone unaffiliated with Waymo to hail a ride, then that will count (even if there is a waitlist and not all members of the public are able to use the service to start).