Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
11 Tem 2026 11:19 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel topluluk tahmini2026 Q3 99%+95.2pt9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Ağu 25 11:5731 Ara 29 23:59
Trendler
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
2026 Q399%
Hacim trendi
$1.4k10 Tem2g veri11 Tem
İlgili Piyasalar
When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit?
₺29,6 B-2025: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US or China impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold before 2030
₺4,7 BEvet: 61.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSChina vs US: who will be first to impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold?
₺0China: 63.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Squid FDV above ___ one day after launch?
₺10,7 B$30M: 93%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
TownSquare FDV above ___ one day after launch?
₺9 B$100M: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Discord’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $20 Billion?
₺7,6 BEvet: 24.7%
MYRIAD
MYRIAD
İlgili Haberler
China completes first digital yuan payment to SingaporeCrypto News
Trump’s CLARITY push is now about beating ChinaCrypto News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
Chinese Prosecutors Float Treating Crypto Mixer, Privacy Coin Use as Sign of Money LaunderingDecrypt
Hong Kong Clearing exposes fake crypto wallet scam using cash rewardsCrypto NewsKurallar
The Long March 10 is an evolution of the Long March 5 and is primarily intended to enable China's crewed lunar landings.
- This question includes the Long March 10A.
- Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Whether Long March 10B will be included in this market depends on whether it is genuinely the same rocket with a different engine and fuel package, or a new rocket with the same name.
- The creator will make this determination when more information becomes available.
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market now includes the Long March 10B variant.