Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiBefore Jan 2028 59%+9.0pt5 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+9.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Ağu 26 8:1631 Ara 27 23:59
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolves based on the date of first documented autonomous driving of a Tesla Semi on publicly accessible roads.
- The requirements are intended to be quite minimal, but to be specific:
- The driving/testing program must be approved by relevant authorities (similarly to have other autonomous car deployments/testing were approved)
- At least 10 semis driving for at least a week
- Must cover at least 1000 miles of roads with non-negligible traffic levels (at least 1 car per minute on average)
- Human oversight or a safety driver is OK as long as the testing program clearly attempts full self driving.
Açık piyasalar
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above+42.0pt99%
- $70,000 or above+23.0pt99%
- $70,500 or above+33.0pt99%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺265,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺143,3 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 240-259+34.8pt70.6%
- 260-279+3.9pt28.4%
- 280-299-13.6pt1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 11am EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,100 or above99%
- $74,600 or above99%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺22,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺21,5 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+7.8pt20.2%
- 300-319+2.5pt17.2%
- 260-279+5.5pt14.1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.9pt11.3%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.4%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.2pt10.4%
+25 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,250 or above+31.0pt99%
- $2,130 or above+5.0pt99%
- $1,970 or above99%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺26,2 Mn
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Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 21 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla Before Jan 2028 için 59% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- When will Tesla Semi first drive autonomously on public roads? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves based on the date of first documented autonomous driving of a Tesla Semi on publicly accessible roads.