Güncel topluluk tahmini
Jul-Dec 2026 97.8%8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
18
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Nis 26 18:19 UTC1 Oca 33 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? (No) → SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
Manifold MarketsBy which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
FutuurWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiAST SpaceMobile BlueBird satellites in orbit above __ in Q4 2026?
LimitlessKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the date (UTC) on which a SpaceX Starship vehicle successfully reaches Earth orbit for the first time.
- For the purpose of this market, Achieving Earth orbit means the Starship upper stage (Ship) completes at least one full, uninterrupted revolution around Earth on a trajectory where its perigee remains above the sensible atmosphere (roughly 100 km altitude), such that it could continue orbiting without further propulsion.
- A suborbital trajectory that reenters before completing one full orbit — even if it reaches orbital altitude and velocity briefly — does not count.
- The orbit does not need to be circular, long-lived, or carry any particular payload; what matters is that the vehicle demonstrably enters a closed (or near-closed) elliptical path around the Earth and sustains it for at least one complete revolution.
- High-apogee suborbital hops, intentional deorbit-before-one-revolution test profiles, and breakup during ascent do not count.
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $80,000 or above99%
- $80,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺44,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺43,9 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $65,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $66,500 or above99%
- $67,000 or above99%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺75,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 85,000 to 89,999.99+0.4pt11.7%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-1.3pt11.7%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-3.3pt10.7%
+25 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 200-219+28.0pt72.3%
- 220-239+19.0pt26.7%
- 240-259+0.1pt1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 22, 2026 at 7am EDT?
- $85,200 or above99%
- $85,100 or above99%
- $85,000 or above99%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺16,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺12,8 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 200-219+3.0pt31.4%
- 220-239+12.0pt24.8%
- 180-199-16.0pt17.1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- ETH price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Where will it rain on Sep 22, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 21 - September 23, 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- ETH price on Sep 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of September 21 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 22, 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Starship reach orbit? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 22 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Jul-Dec 2026 için 97.8% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Starship reach orbit? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Starship reach orbit? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2033.
- When will Starship reach orbit? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria