Güncel topluluk tahmini
2026-08-01 tarihinden önce 100%+0.3pt30 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
111
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
dün guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Eki 25 23:4225 Tem 26 7:42
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Before 2026-02-010%
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Before 2026-07-010.9%
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Before 2026-08-01100%
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Before 2026-07-160%
Before 2026-08-16100%
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Before 2026-07-2456.8%
Before 2026-07-211%
Before 2026-07-197.5%
Before 2026-07-183.8%
Before 2026-07-2068.6%
Before 2026-07-221%
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Before 2026-07-25100%
Before 2026-07-26100%
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Before 2026-07-30100%
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Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· Before 2026-08-01
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketGenel en iyi%88 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Düşük | 100% | — | ₺2,7 Mn | ₺0 | evvelsi gün | Aç → |
| Manifold MarketsBu sayfa | — | 100% | — | — | — | dün |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
19.0 ptsKapalı
+8.9pt100%
+1.8pt100%
+19.0pt100%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
46 • Düşük kaliteDar spreadDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺42 Mn
24s Hacim₺2,7 Mn
POLYMARKETKurallar
Son birkaç uçuşun tarihleri şöyledir:
- Uçuş 7: 2025-01-16
- Uçuş 8: 2025-03-06
- Uçuş 9: 2025-05-27
- Uçuş 10: 2025-08-26
- Uçuş 11: 2025-10-13
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
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$62.5k8 Tem18g veri25 Tem
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Son birkaç uçuşun tarihleri şöyledir:
- Uçuş 7: 2025-01-16
- Uçuş 8: 2025-03-06
- Uçuş 9: 2025-05-27
- Uçuş 10: 2025-08-26
- Uçuş 11: 2025-10-13