If Trump is reelected, will he show signs of age-related mental decline by the end of his term?
One-OffUS PoliticsHealth & MedicinePolitika2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 90%
Tahminciler
37
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Tem 24 11:15 UTC7 Oca 29 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Trump be reelected again
Manifold MarketsWill the FDA approve a psychedelic-assisted therapy for a mental disorder by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat's causing the mental health crisis among young people of the 2010s-2020s?
Manifold MarketsHow much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?
KalshiWill mail-order mifepristone access be restricted nationwide?
KalshiWill the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
KalshiKurallar
Conditional on Trump getting reelected in 2024, will he show signs of age-related mental decline at any time before Jan 6 2029.
- I will try to use external sources.
- For example, if there is widespread media discussion about his age.
- Clarifications:
- 1) If Trump is not reelected in 2024, this resolves N/A
- 2) If Trump is re-elected but does not end his second term (e.g. because he is impeached and removed from office), this resolves to whether there is significant discussion of age-related decline by when his term would have ended (Jan 6th 2029).
