Manifold MarketsKapalıKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it. (94.5%)
Sonuçlandı: 12 Ağu 2026 03:53
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Güncel topluluk tahminiHe will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it. 94.5%+50.4pt7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+72.9 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Ara 25 18:2112 Ağu 26 3:53
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.0.3%
He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.0.9%
He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.94.5%
He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.0.4%
He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.3.1%
He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.0.2%
Other0.7%
94.5%
3.1%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
Kurallar
#### Resolution criteria
- The 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election is scheduled for November 3, 2026, with primary elections on August 11, 2026.
- Precinct caucuses are scheduled for February 3, 2026, and the Republican endorsement convention is expected in May, with endorsements occurring in March and early April.
- This market resolves based on the furthest stage Lindell's campaign reaches before ending:
- Drops out before endorsement convention: Campaign ends before or during the February-May convention process
- Drops out after endorsement convention but before primary: Campaign ends after the May convention but before August 11 primary
