Bu piyasa sonuçlandı: Resigns (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 3 Ağu 2026 18:19
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Güncel topluluk tahminiResigns 99%+1.0pt4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
67
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Oca 26 4:383 Ağu 26 18:19
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Loses general election1.5%
Loses Labour leadership challenge0.4%
Resigns99%
Other1.2%
99%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
Kurallar
Resolves to the means by which Keir Starmer loses power as the UK’s Prime Minister.
- “Resigns” captures scenarios where Starmer voluntarily ceases to be PM without legal obligation, even if there is strong pressure (eg resignation following a non-binding no confidence vote or in the middle of a leadership challenge both count for “resigns”).
- It also includes resignation for personal reasons like health.
- “Other” captures any scenario not listed, including death, incapacitation, criminal disqualification or expulsion by the monarch.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- How will Keir Starmer leave office? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 4 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla Resigns için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- How will Keir Starmer leave office? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- How will Keir Starmer leave office? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Ağustos 2026.
- How will Keir Starmer leave office? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves to the means by which Keir Starmer loses power as the UK’s Prime Minister.