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Şirket

Tüzel Kişilik
Bees-x Limited
Şirket Numarası
13308136
Kuruluş Yeri
England and Wales
Kayıtlı Ofis
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm, Bees-x Limited tarafından işletilen bir bilgi ve araştırma hizmetidir. Düzenlenmiş faaliyetleri yürütmek üzere Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) tarafından yetkilendirilmemiştir ve bu sitedeki hiçbir içerik finansal tavsiye değildir.

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  1. Tahmin Piyasaları
  2. Politika
  3. Brazil 2026 Election: Who Leads the Polling Average Two Months Before the Election? (1st Round)
Manifold Markets

Brazil 2026 Election: Who Leads the Polling Average Two Months Before the Election? (1st Round)

PolitikaOne-OffSeçimSporSoccerLatin America1ay
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKYC yok
Güncel topluluk tahmini
Manifold Markets
Lula 85.9%
4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler

7

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

5 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis
26 Şub 26 12:414 Ağu 26 23:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Seçilen sonuç

Lula86%

Kurallar

At 23:59 BRT on Aug 4, 2026, take the most recently published national voting-intention polls (first-round, President) from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, Ipec, AtlasIntel, Paraná Pesquisas, PoderData, and Ipespe.

Manifold Markets
  • Only polls published within the last 15 days (i.e., Jul 20–Aug 4, 2026, inclusive) are eligible.
  • Compute each candidate’s simple average (%) across the eligible polls (using the published topline national %).
  • The market resolves to the candidate with the highest average.
  • If tied, resolve to whoever is higher in the most recent eligible poll (then the next most recent, etc.) until the tie breaks.

İlgili Piyasalar

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

₺36,2 Mn
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%: 82%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

₺3,6 Mn
Nicolás Maduro: 70%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peru Presidential election winner?

Peru Presidential election winner?

₺521,7 B
Roberto Sánchez: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

₺206,5 B
Espriella 5-10%: 53%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?

₺20,4 B
Lula: 46.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Brazil Presidential election winner?

Brazil Presidential election winner?

₺8,7 B
Renan Santos: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Bu konularda aktif

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İlgili Haberler

FIFA names Kraken official crypto exchange supporter for 2026 World CupCrypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsPeru 2nd Round Bet Focus Narrows to Fujimori Narrow VictoryBlockchain.NewsSpain Dominates World Cup Knockout Trajectory, Polymarket Shows 98% OddsBlockchain.NewsBurnham Favored in Makerfield By-Election as Markets React to Rising OddsBlockchain.NewsCrypto PACs Shape Bets on Peru’s 2026 RaceBlockchain.News

Kurallar

At 23:59 BRT on Aug 4, 2026, take the most recently published national voting-intention polls (first-round, President) from Datafolha, Genial/Quaest, Ipec, AtlasIntel, Paraná Pesquisas, PoderData, and Ipespe.

Manifold Markets
  • Only polls published within the last 15 days (i.e., Jul 20–Aug 4, 2026, inclusive) are eligible.
  • Compute each candidate’s simple average (%) across the eligible polls (using the published topline national %).
  • The market resolves to the candidate with the highest average.
  • If tied, resolve to whoever is higher in the most recent eligible poll (then the next most recent, etc.) until the tie breaks.