Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 91.4%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 May 26 15:31 UTC31 Ara 34 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Tetra read a book in Toki Pona by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill 5 or more people comment here that they know how to speak Toki Pona?
Manifold MarketsNH-01 Democratic nominee?
Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any individual delivers a speech at least partially in the Toki Pona language during an official United Nations session, assembly, or conference before January 1, 2035.
- For the purposes of this market, a "speech" is defined as a formal oral address delivered to a UN body.
- A part of the speech must be identifiable as Toki Pona by linguistics experts or through official UN transcripts/records.
- If no such speech occurs by the deadline, or if the language used is determined to be a different constructed language, the market resolves to NO.
- Toki Pona is a constructed language (conlang) created by Canadian linguist Sonja Lang, first published in 2001.
Açık piyasalar
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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Sık sorulan sorular
- before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 91% fiyatlıyor.
- before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2034.
- before 2035, will anyone give a UN speech in toki pona? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria