LimitlessKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiVeri kalitesi uyarısıAnlamlı fiyatlandırma yok
1 Eyl 2026 03:00 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
August 31 50%
Piyasa kalitesi
30 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
—
Likidite bilinmiyorPiyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
25 Ağu 26 13:201 Eki 26 3:59
Trendler
Kurallar
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace.
- Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Bu piyasayı şu anda 2 platform fiyatlıyor. CoinRithm'in September 30 için likidite ağırlıklı referans olasılığı %10. Kotasyonlar en uçtaki platformlar arasında yaklaşık 40 puan fark gösteriyor.
CoinRithm referansı September 30 10% · 2 platform · 40 puan venue farkı
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Israel closes its airspace by...? · September 30 10%
Açık piyasalar
Middle East
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,4 Mn
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt61%
- October 31+2.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt97%
- Yes-0.3pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺357,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺10,7 Mn
POLYMARKETIran full airspace closure by which date?
- December 31+4.5pt30%
- September 30+5.0pt17%
- June 30+0.3pt0%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+1.0pt10%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Iran leadership change by which date?
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Limitless, 1 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla August 31 için 50% fiyatlıyor.
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ekim 2026.
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Limitless bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket.