KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
At least 30% 15%9 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
70 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺1 Mn
Likidite
₺808,4 B
Orta likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Eyl 26 14:00 UTC3 Kas 27 14:00 UTC
Trendler
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
CO-04 House election: Tim Veldhuizen vote percent
KalshiCO-04 House election: Wayne Thornton vote percent
KalshiCO-05 House election: Matt Cavanaugh vote percent
KalshiCO-05 House election: Roy Matthewson vote percent
KalshiLA-03 House election: Caleb Walker vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiLA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiKurallar
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dan McKay in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Dan McKay ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- The percentage is based on the first round of voting.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.7pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe28.9%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺79,2 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt19%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-2.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+4.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.4pt2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.3pt14%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.0pt41%
- September 30+3.0pt23%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 12 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla At least 30% için 15% fiyatlıyor.
- LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2027.
- LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dan McKay in the first round of the 2026 LA-05 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.