Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Kim Kataguiri 91%+87.0%6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
28 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺261,1
Likidite
₺6 B
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
5.0% / 15.0%
Spread
200.0%
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
9 dakika önce guncellendi
25 Nis 26 14:004 Eki 27 14:00
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
Seçilen sonuç
Kim Kataguiri91%
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
0.8%3ay
-2.5%82%
+0.8%13%
+0.3%4%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺3,4 Mn
24s Hacim₺103,7 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.