Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Tarcísio de Freitas 92%-3.0%6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
60 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺47,3
Likidite
₺613,9 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
92.0% / 96.0%
Spread
4.3%
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
22 dakika önce guncellendi
25 Nis 26 14:004 Eki 27 14:00
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Tarcísio de Freitas92%
Platformları karşılaştır· Tarcísio de Freitas
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketGenel en iyi%80 eşleşme · oto | Orta | 94% | 0pt | ₺19,6 B | ₺6,4 Mn | 22 dakika önce | Aç → |
 KalshiBu sayfa | Orta | 92% | -2pt | ₺47,3 | ₺613,9 B | 22 dakika önce |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
0.6%2ay
94%
+0.6%5%
1%
+22 daha fazla sonuç
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim₺11,4 Mn
24s Hacim₺19,6 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
$4.8k92.0%POLYMARKETYes7897987987987924 gün önce
POLYMARKETYes7897987987987924 gün önceHacim trendi
$12 Tem9g veri26 Tem
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If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.