KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Tarcísio de Freitas 98%6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺633,9 B
Orta likiditeSpread
2.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
25 Nis 26 14:00 UTC4 Eki 27 14:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
São Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
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FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats)
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — São Paulo Governor Election Winner · Tarcísio de Freitas 99%
Açık piyasalar
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- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,9 Mr
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- Democratic Party-0.9pt91%
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Sık sorulan sorular
- São Paulo Governor winner? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 22 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Tarcísio de Freitas için 98% fiyatlıyor.
- São Paulo Governor winner? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- São Paulo Governor winner? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 4 Ekim 2027.
- São Paulo Governor winner? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- São Paulo Governor winner? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket.