South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?
85.0 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçim12ay
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkLarry Rhoden, ≥12% 86.1%+85.0pt10 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
67 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺431 B
Likidite
₺705,8 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
42 dakika önce guncellendi
4 Haz 26 19:3028 Tem 27 14:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Larry Rhoden, ≥12%99%
Hacim trendi
$9.1k2 Tem28g veri29 Tem
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If the margin of victory for Toby Doeden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Toby Doeden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Toby Doeden if Toby Doeden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Toby Doeden loses.
- If Toby Doeden wins, the margin will be positive; if Toby Doeden loses, the margin will be negative; if Toby Doeden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Toby Doeden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.