KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Eduardo Paes 92.4%4 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
48 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺93,9 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
3 dakika önce güncellendi
25 Nis 26 14:004 Eki 27 14:00
Trendler
0%
Kurallar
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Bu piyasayı şu anda 4 platform fiyatlıyor. CoinRithm'in Eduardo Paes için likidite ağırlıklı referans olasılığı %92. Kotasyonlar en uçtaki platformlar arasında yaklaşık 24 puan fark gösteriyor.
CoinRithm referansı Eduardo Paes 92% · 4 platform · 24 puan venue farkı
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 93%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 93%
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026 · Eduardo Paes 72%
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺61,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺46,3 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.9%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.2pt43.1%
- Renan Santos-0.7pt2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt30.9%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.4%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff15.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt60%
- October 31-1.0pt36%
- September 30-2.0pt17%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 4 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Eduardo Paes için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 4 Ekim 2027.
- Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket, Limitless, Futuur.