Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
21.0% (24s)PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçim1y
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkFrancesca Hong, ≥15% 49%+21.0%12 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
52 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺63,5 B
Likidite
₺713,2 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
36.0% / 42.0%
Spread
16.7%
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
22 dakika önce guncellendi
20 Tem 26 15:4211 Ağu 27 14:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Francesca Hong, ≥15%49%
Büyük işlemler
$1.4k95.0%KALSHIDavid Crowley, 3-6% — No4 gün önce
KALSHIDavid Crowley, 3-6% — No4 gün önceHacim trendi
$1.3k20 Tem7g veri26 Tem
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If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses.
- If Francesca Hong wins, the margin will be positive; if Francesca Hong loses, the margin will be negative; if Francesca Hong ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Francesca Hong runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.