KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıCanlı kotasyon yok
6 Eki 2026 00:55 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Tiffany, 2+ pts 17%
Tiffany, 2+ pts 17%Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Açık pozisyon
₺444,2 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
2 dakika önce güncellendi
29 Nis 26 14:00 UTC3 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Republican Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Republican Party will be summed. If the Republican Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Republican Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Republican Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Republican Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Her sonucun kuralı
- Tiffany, 2+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tiffany, 5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Wisconsin by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
