KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Democrats, 8+ pts 61%7 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
26 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺1,2 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
9.2 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
14 Eyl 26 19:00 UTC3 Kas 27 14:00 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Michigan by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Michigan Board of State Canvassers
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory · Benson 9-12% 22%
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Michigan Governor margin of victory için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 22 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Democrats, 8+ pts için 61% fiyatlıyor.
- Michigan Governor margin of victory ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Michigan Governor margin of victory için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2027.
- Michigan Governor margin of victory nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Michigan by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Michigan Governor margin of victory başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket.