Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Restore Britain 1%6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
52 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺24,9 B
Likidite
₺187 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce guncellendi
16 May 26 11:301 Oca 28 15:00
Trendler
Seçilen sonuç
Restore Britain1%
Smarkets üzerinde de mevcut
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
0.1%
82.6%
12.5%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
28 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺0
24s Hacim₺0
SMARKETS
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Makerfield by-election Winner
0.1%6g
+1.0%86%
-2.0%13%
-0.1%3%
+30 daha fazla sonuç
73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺149,7 Mn
24s Hacim₺7,9 Mn
POLYMARKETKurallar
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.