KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Labour (99%)
Sonuçlandı: 19 Haz 2026 03:28
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
Labour
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
89%
KonsensüsGüncel ima edilen olasılıkLabour 95.2%+10.0pt6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
39 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺7,8 Mn
Likidite
₺497,9 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
- / 1.0%
Piyasa verileri
40 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis16 May 26 11:301 Oca 28 15:00
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Labour99%
Reform UK9%
1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· Labour
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır
Smarkets üzerinde de mevcut
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
Kapalı
91.3%
8.4%
0.2%
14 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺0
24s Hacim₺0
SMARKETS
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Makerfield by-election Winner
12.9 ptsKapalı
Sonuçlandı
Andy Burnham (100%)
+12.9pt100%
0%
0%
+30 daha fazla sonuç
49 • Düşük kaliteDar spreadDüşük likidite
Toplam Hacim₺415,5 Mn
24s Hacim₺236,8 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.