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  3. Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory
Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

Politika
KalshiKalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücret

Bu piyasa sonuçlandı: Julia Letlow, 9%+ (100%)

Sonuçlandı: 2 Haz 2026 22:48

Kazanan Sonuç

Julia Letlow, 9%+

7 gün kala

—

24 saat kala

—

Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
Julia Letlow, 0-3% 0%
12 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi

28 / 100

Düşük kalite
24s Hacim

₺0

Likidite

₺38 B

Düşük likidite
Alis / Satis

- / 0.1%

Piyasa verileri

10 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis
19 Mar 26 14:0016 May 27 14:00

Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi

Julia Letlow, 9%+100%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%0%
John Fleming, 0-3%0%
John Fleming, 3-6%0%
John Fleming, 6-9%0%
John Fleming, 9%+0%
Bill Cassidy, 0-3%0%
Bill Cassidy, 3-6%0%
Bill Cassidy, 6-9%0%
Bill Cassidy, 9%+0%
0%25%50%75%100%2 Haz2 Haz2 Haz
Sonuç24sOlasılık
Julia Letlow, 3-6%
Julia Letlow, 3-6%
1%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
0%
Julia Letlow, 6-9%
Julia Letlow, 6-9%
0%
Julia Letlow, 9%+
Julia Letlow, 9%+
100%
John Fleming, 0-3%
John Fleming, 0-3%
0%
John Fleming, 3-6%
John Fleming, 3-6%
0%

Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.

Kurallar

If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary falls between 0% and 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Kurallar

If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary falls between 0% and 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.