Margin of victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election?
Politika
KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: TISZA, 12-15% (97%)
Sonuçlandı: 19 Nis 2026 01:09
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Güncel ima edilen olasılıkTISZA, 12-15% 91.5%+3.7pt11 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
11 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺0
Likidite
₺0
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
-
Piyasa verileri
111 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Nis 26 19:0012 Nis 27 14:00
Trendler
0.9%
6.6%
0.9%
91.5%
0%
0%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· TISZA, 12-15%
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Düşük | 97% | — | ₺0 | ₺0 | 111 gün önce | |
 PredictIt%69 eşleşme · doğrulandı | — | 99% | — | — | — | 106 gün önce | Aç → |
PredictIt üzerinde de mevcut
What will be the margin of victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election?
Kapalı
+79.0pt99%
+2.0pt3%
-18.0pt2%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITKurallar
If the margin of victory for TISZA in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election falls within 15% to 18%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Note: The party list vote will be used to resolve this market.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by TISZA minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind TISZA if TISZA wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if TISZA loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by TISZA minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind TISZA if TISZA wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if TISZA loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by TISZA minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if TISZA wins, or the electoral votes received by TISZA minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if TISZA does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If TISZA runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural TISZA will be summed.
- If TISZA wins the election, the margin will be positive. If TISZA loses the election, the margin will be negative. If TISZA ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where TISZA is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
İlgili Piyasalar
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
₺50,9 MnRobert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
₺47,1 MnJuly 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
₺41,6 MnAugust 31: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
₺40,2 MnGretchen Whitmer: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ohio Governor winner?
₺18,7 MnVivek Ramaswamy: 49%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
₺18,1 MnJames Fishback: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIBu konularda aktif
İlgili Haberler
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.NewsPolymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as voter-roll claims circulateBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds lift Le Pen to 31% in 2027 French election marketBlockchain.NewsKurallar
If the margin of victory for TISZA in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election falls within 15% to 18%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Note: The party list vote will be used to resolve this market.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by TISZA minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind TISZA if TISZA wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if TISZA loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by TISZA minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind TISZA if TISZA wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if TISZA loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by TISZA minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if TISZA wins, or the electoral votes received by TISZA minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if TISZA does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If TISZA runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural TISZA will be summed.
- If TISZA wins the election, the margin will be positive. If TISZA loses the election, the margin will be negative. If TISZA ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where TISZA is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).