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  3. Colombian presidential election first round winner?
Colombian presidential election first round winner?

Colombian presidential election first round winner?

74.4% (24s)Politika
KalshiKalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücret

Bu piyasa sonuçlandı: Abelardo de la Espriella (96%)

Sonuçlandı: 1 Haz 2026 13:18

Kazanan Sonuç

Abelardo de la Espriella

7 gün kala

—

24 saat kala

24%

Sürpriz
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Abelardo de la Espriella
Abelardo de la Espriella 96%+74.4%
5 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi

79 / 100

Yüksek kalite
24s Hacim

₺167,8 B

Likidite

₺213,9 B

Orta likidite
Alis / Satis

96.3% / 98.7%

Spread

2.5%

Dar spread
Piyasa verileri

12 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis
5 Mar 26 15:0031 May 27 14:00

Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi

Abelardo de la Espriella96%
Iván Cepeda Castro61%
0%25%50%75%100%30 May31 May1 Haz
Sonuç24sOlasılık
Abelardo de la Espriella
Abelardo de la Espriella
+74.4%
96%
Iván Cepeda Castro
Iván Cepeda Castro
-76.3%
1%
Paloma Valencia
Paloma Valencia
0%
Sergio Fajardo
Sergio Fajardo
0%
Daniel Quintero
Daniel Quintero
0%

Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.

Kurallar

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

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Kurallar

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.