Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Count Binface Party 66.1%+4.0pt15 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
60 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺34,1 B
Likidite
₺1,1 Mn
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
76.0% / 78.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
26 dakika önce guncellendi
9 Tem 26 15:3013 Ağu 27 14:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Count Binface Party78%
Platformları karşılaştır· Tony Mack
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketGenel en iyi%80 eşleşme · oto | Orta | 1% | 0pt | ₺747,5 B | ₺14,9 Mn | 6 dakika önce | Aç → |
 KalshiBu sayfa | Orta | 1% | 0pt | ₺34,1 B | ₺1,1 Mn | 26 dakika önce |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
1.5 pts11ay
+1.5pt78%
50%
50%
+50 daha fazla sonuç
74 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺14,1 Mn
24s Hacim₺747,5 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
$1.6k78.0%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesStraddleSeller17 sa. önce
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesStraddleSeller17 sa. önce$3.2k75.2%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Yesharrisonhohman84 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Yesharrisonhohman84 gün önce$2.8k94.4%POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — NoTest66912 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — NoTest66912 gün önce$1.1k90.5%POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Nogroth17 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Nogroth17 gün önce$1.2k80.6%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesProfessionalPunter19 gün önce
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesProfessionalPunter19 gün önceHacim trendi
$7199 Tem19g veri27 Tem
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If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.