KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
No, ≥1% · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
No, ≥1% 67%8 seçenek arasında lider
No, ≥1% 67%Piyasa kalitesi
42 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺49,3 B
Açık pozisyon
₺591,4 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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No, ≥1%Spread
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Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
22 Eyl 26 03:00 UTC3 Kas 27 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · No, ≥1%
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
KalshiCalifornia Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent
KalshiWill California Proposition 38 ($8.4B immunology research bond) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 42 (ban on new state personal property taxes) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 45 (faster CEQA environmental review) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill California Proposition 41 (tax limits and special-tax audits) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:California Secretary of State
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by No minus the vote share received by the option that finishes immediately behind No if No wins, or the option that finishes first if No loses. If No wins, the margin will be positive; if No loses, the margin will be negative; if No ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Her sonucun kuralı
- No, ≥1%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥10%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥4%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥13%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 13%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥16%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥7%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥19%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 19%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- No, ≥22%
- If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 22%, then the market resolves to Yes.
