KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Lula da Silva, ≥1% 11%5 seçenek arasında lider
Lula da Silva, ≥1% 11%Piyasa kalitesi
57 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺59,2 B
Açık pozisyon
₺59,2 B
Düşük açık pozisyonSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Eki 26 21:00 UTC25 Eki 27 14:00 UTC
Trendler
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent
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KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
Kalshi🇧🇷 Will Brazil’s 2026 presidential runoff be decided by less than 3 percentage points?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the share of valid votes (excluding blank and null votes) received by Lula da Silva minus the share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses. If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Lula da Silva, ≥1%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, ≥3%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, ≥5%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, ≥7%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, ≥9%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
