Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
6.0% (24s)One-OffPolitikaSeçimLatin America1y
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretGüncel ima edilen olasılıkLula da Silva, 5-10% 15%-6.0%11 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
28 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺2,3
Likidite
₺334,3
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
15.0% / 22.0%
Spread
46.7%
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
1 dakika önce guncellendi
23 Nis 26 4:004 Eki 27 14:00
Trendler
0%
0%
Seçilen sonuç
Lula da Silva, 5-10%15%
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
5.2%3ay
-2.5%34%
+3.5%32%
-2.0%11%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺11 Mn
24s Hacim₺13,7 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.