Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
2.0 puan (24s)One-OffPolitikaSeçimLatin America1y
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Lula da Silva, 0-5% 37.1%+2.0pt11 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
60 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺36,9 B
Likidite
₺726,1 B
Orta likiditeSpread
5.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
23 Nis 26 04:00 UTC4 Eki 27 14:00 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
LimitlessBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
PolymarketKurallar
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 41%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 50%
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 12 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Lula da Silva, 0-5% için 37% fiyatlıyor.
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 4 Ekim 2027.
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket, Limitless.