KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkLula da Silva, 5-10% 31.5%11 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
40 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺6,5 B
Likidite
₺235,1 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
21.0% / 30.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
21 dakika önce guncellendi
23 Nis 26 4:004 Eki 27 14:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Lula da Silva, 10-15%29%
Platformları karşılaştır· Lula da Silva 5-10%
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketGenel en iyi%80 eşleşme · oto | Orta | 41% | 0pt | ₺69,8 B | ₺2,2 Mn | 21 dakika önce | Aç → |
| KalshiBu sayfa | Düşük | 34% | -7pt | ₺6,5 B | ₺235,1 B | 21 dakika önce |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
9.2 pts2ay
+6.5pt40.2%
-9.2pt24.5%
13.7%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
53 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likiditeYüksek belirsizlik
Toplam Hacim₺14,1 Mn
24s Hacim₺69,8 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$1372 Tem27g veri28 Tem
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If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.