KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 87%
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺225,5 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
6.0% / 10.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
24 dakika önce güncellendi
31 Oca 26 15:004 Eki 27 14:00
Trendler
Kurallar
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Superior Electoral Court
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Bu piyasayı şu anda 2 platform fiyatlıyor. CoinRithm'in CoinRithm referansı için likidite ağırlıklı referans olasılığı %7. Kotasyonlar en uçtaki platformlar arasında yaklaşık 6 puan fark gösteriyor.
CoinRithm referansı 7% · 2 platform · 6 puan venue farkı
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 31 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla No için 87% fiyatlıyor.
- Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 4 Ekim 2027.
- Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Polymarket.