Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 15%
Piyasa kalitesi
28 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺3,7 B
Likidite
₺92,6 B
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
13.3%
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
2 dakika önce guncellendi
31 Oca 26 15:004 Eki 27 14:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Yes15%
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
0.5%3ay
12%
+0.0%88%
56 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺3,8 Mn
24s Hacim₺5,2 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.