KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Magnitude of at least 5.2 (99%)
Sınırlı sonuç kanıtı
CoinRithm kayıtlı sonucu gösterebilir, ancak her sonuçlanma alanı sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış değildir.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
11 Eki 2026 16:56 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Magnitude of at least 5.463%
Magnitude of at least 6.299%
Magnitude of at least 5.633%
Magnitude of at least 5.843%
Magnitude of at least 5.290%
Magnitude of at least 6.035%
Magnitude of at least 6.481%
Magnitude of at least 6.85%
Magnitude of at least 7.04%
Magnitude of at least 6.690%
Magnitude of at least 5.4Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.2Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 87% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.6Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.2Kazandı
Kapanıştan önce: 98% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.0Kaybetti
Kapanıştan önce: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.6Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 6.4Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 6.8Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 7.0Kaybetti
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PolymarketWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Kalshi8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiKurallar
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.